TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
This market resolves based on the goal differential between Mexico and England in their match scheduled for 2026-07-06 01:00 UTC. Each spread threshold listed below resolves independently. Only regular time counts. If postponed, this market remains open until played; if cancelled with no make-up, all positions resolve 50-50.
This market resolves based on the goal differential between Mexico and England in their match scheduled for 2026-07-06 01:00 UTC. Each spread threshold listed below resolves independently. Only regular time counts. If postponed, this market remains open until played; if cancelled with no make-up, all positions resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by traders seeking to profit from accurate forecasts. For this match, comparing the implied probability here to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether one venue perceives a meaningful edge. Many traders monitor both to identify arbitrage opportunities or validate their own view of the matchup.
On Opinion, this market is priced through continuous trading, where buyers and sellers directly set the odds by placing orders at prices they believe reflect the true probability of each outcome. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see represents the last executed trade, and new trades shift the implied probability in real time. This mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new information and trader conviction, making the price a dynamic consensus estimate of the match result.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, once the Mexico vs England match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score and official match result as confirmed by recognized football authorities. Until that point, prices will fluctuate based on team news, betting patterns, and trader expectations about performance on the day.
Key catalysts include team lineups and injury announcements, which can significantly shift perceived win probability if star players are unavailable. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts and media coverage often influences trader positioning. Live match developments—early goals, red cards, or tactical shifts—typically trigger sharp price moves as traders react to unfolding events. Weather conditions, recent form, and head-to-head history may also prompt position adjustments as the match date approaches and new information emerges.