TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Mexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets
polymarket
predict

What is the result of Mexico vs Ecuador?

Volume:
$21,031,357

Team to Advance

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 9:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Team to Advance

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,289,214
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Team to Advance

N/A
N/A
—
$51,657
$350,131
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mexico (-1.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,033,069
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Mexico (-1.5)

N/A
N/A
—
$26,244
$86,788
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,440,922
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 1.5

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$104,469
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$919,555
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mexico O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$517,799
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$457,548
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 0.5

N/A
N/A
—
$21,759
$48,497
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mexico O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$322,183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$195,632
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,567
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,069,750
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$154,978
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$925,626
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Both Teams to Score

N/A
N/A
—
$795
$186,408
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$862,267
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 3.5

N/A
N/A
—
$410
$107,780
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mexico (-2.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$854,489
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Mexico (-2.5)

N/A
N/A
—
$157
$11,847
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ecuador (-1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$532,960
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Ecuador (-1.5)

N/A
N/A
—
$196
$10,710
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mexico O/U 2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$399,023
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 66

Intro

This event group tracks outcomes from a FIFA World Cup match between Mexico and Ecuador scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET, spanning 40+ markets including spread bets, over/under totals for combined and individual team goals, and binary outcomes. The aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Predict shows the leading market—Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5—at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official final score published on fifa.com within 2 hours of match conclusion; if unavailable, consensus of credible reporting may be used as fallback. Watch for the final whistle on June 30 to confirm the official goal total and settle all linked markets.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict platforms apply identical resolution criteria: official FIFA.com final score, 90-minute regulation play plus stoppage time only, postponement keeps markets open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50, and post-settlement score revisions are disregarded.Primary resolution logic: Official final score published on fifa.com within 2 hours of match conclusion; if unavailable, consensus of credible reporting may be used as fallback

Core resolution logic:

  • Spread markets resolve on goal differential: Mexico (-X) wins if Mexico margin >= X goals; Ecuador (-X) wins if Ecuador margin >= X goals; otherwise the opposing team wins
  • Over/Under markets on combined totals resolve Over if combined goals >= threshold + 1, Under if combined goals <= threshold
  • Over/Under markets on individual team totals resolve Over if that team scores >= threshold + 1, Under if that team scores <= threshold
  • Half-specific markets (1st/2nd half) count only goals scored in that half; full-match markets count all 90-minute regulation goals
  • Both Teams to Score markets resolve Yes if each team scores at least 1 goal in the specified period, No if either team scores 0
  • Postponement: market remains open until game completion
  • Cancellation without makeup: market resolves 50-50
  • Post-settlement score revisions are not recognized for resolution purposes

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Game started but not completed: Market resolves according to official final score published on fifa.com at time of stoppage
  • Postponement: Market remains open and active until the game has been completed; no automatic resolution occurs
  • Cancellation without makeup: Market resolves 50-50 (split equally between Yes and No outcomes)
  • Score revision after settlement: Any official score revisions made after market resolution are not recognized; original settled score stands
  • Delayed official statistics: If FIFA.com does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting sources may be used as fallback
Timing: Resolution occurs upon publication of official final score on fifa.com, typically within 2 hours after match conclusion (90 minutes regulation + stoppage time). Half-specific markets resolve based on goals scored within their respective 45-minute periods plus half-specific stoppage time.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET.

Predict

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on peer-to-peer trading—prices emerge from what users are willing to buy and sell. This market often reflects sharper, less biased estimates because traders risk real capital and compete for accuracy. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate faster-moving injury reports or late-breaking news. Comparing both sources helps identify value and understand where professional and crowd wisdom diverge.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, fee structures, and liquidity pools. Polymarket may see heavier volume on one outcome, pushing its price higher or lower than Predict, where traders hold different conviction levels. Settlement rules, platform UI design, and access restrictions also shape how quickly information gets priced in. Arbitrage opportunities sometimes emerge between the two, but transaction costs and withdrawal delays often prevent traders from fully closing the gap. Monitoring both helps you spot mispricing and understand market fragmentation.

Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—typically triggers sharp price moves. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader positioning. Major betting syndicates or sharp money flowing into one side can signal conviction and shift odds quickly. Social media sentiment and mainstream sports media coverage sometimes amplify retail interest. Late-breaking developments like roster updates or coaching changes in the days before kickoff often spark volatility. Monitor sports news feeds and platform volume spikes to catch these catalysts early.