TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 12:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Mexico and South Korea (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 19, 2026, 01:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 19, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Mexico and South Korea (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 19, 2026, 01:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 19, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds on Limitless often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed oddsmaker pricing. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines based on liability and sharp action, while prediction markets aggregate thousands of individual traders' beliefs. For this Mexico–South Korea card total, the prediction market may price in crowd expectations about referee tendencies, team aggression, and historical card patterns differently than a sportsbook. Comparing the two venues can reveal whether the crowd sees higher or lower card risk than professional oddsmakers.
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this event is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that Mexico and South Korea accumulate 4 or more combined yellow and red cards. The price moves continuously as traders buy and sell shares, with the contract value ranging from 0 to 100 cents. Higher prices indicate stronger crowd belief in a card-heavy match. Liquidity and order flow on Limitless determine how quickly prices respond to new information, such as team lineups, referee assignments, or pre-match news about player suspensions or disciplinary records.
This market resolves on Jun 20, 2026, following the conclusion of the Mexico versus South Korea match. The outcome is determined by the total number of yellow and red cards issued to both teams combined during the match. If the combined card count reaches 4 or more, the YES outcome wins; if it remains below 4, the NO outcome wins. Resolution occurs after the final whistle and official match records are confirmed.
Key catalysts include official team lineups and injury reports, which may reveal aggressive or defensive player selections. Referee assignment announcements can shift odds significantly, as different officials have varying card-issuance tendencies. Pre-match news about player suspensions, recent disciplinary records, or tactical instructions from coaches will influence trader expectations. Historical head-to-head card data and current-season card rates for both teams provide context. Weather conditions, venue atmosphere, and tournament stakes may also affect play intensity and referee decisions, moving the market as match day approaches.