TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 6:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Mexico and South Africa (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 11, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 11, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Mexico and South Africa (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 11, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 11, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this event is priced through the continuous order-book mechanism, where traders submit buy and sell orders reflecting their belief in whether Mexico and South Africa will accumulate 4 or more total cards. The current implied probability and bid-ask spread depend on real-time supply and demand. As match details emerge—team lineups, referee assignments, or injury updates—traders adjust positions, moving the price. Limitless pricing remains transparent and decentralized, with no house margin, so the odds you see directly reflect the marginal trader's conviction at that moment.
This market resolves on Jun 12, 2026, after the Mexico vs. South Africa match concludes. Resolution hinges on the total number of yellow and red cards issued to both teams combined during the match. The outcome is binary: if the combined card count reaches 4 or more, the affirmative position wins; if it stays below 4, the negative position wins. Official match records and referee reports determine the final card tally. Once the match ends and cards are officially recorded, the market settles automatically based on that data.
Several factors could shift odds before Jun 12, 2026. Team news—suspensions, injuries to key players, or lineup changes—affects playing style and aggression levels. Referee assignment matters significantly; stricter officials tend to issue more cards. Recent form and disciplinary records of both squads influence trader expectations. Match stakes and tournament context (e.g., knockout stage vs. group play) shape how cautiously teams play. Weather conditions and venue history can impact physicality. As the match approaches, late-breaking tactical announcements or betting syndicates entering the market may cause sharp price moves. Real-time card counts during the first half also drive adjustments to second-half probabilities.