TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 10:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Venezuela's top league. The contest involves two teams competing in a single game, with three possible results determined by the final score after regular time.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Metropolitanos vs Caracas professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer match scheduled for September 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the actual result—either Metropolitanos win, Caracas win, or a tied score. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting the adjusted timing and circumstances of the event.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to take a position, leading to odds that can diverge as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets offer different probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more participants weigh in.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and provide a forward-looking assessment of the event's potential results, based on the collective judgment of its participants.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Metropolitanos versus Caracas game, as reported by a recognized sports news source. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders should monitor official announcements to understand the final result and how it impacts their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather forecasts impacting the game could shift probabilities. Unexpected performance in preceding games or significant shifts in public perception of either team’s chances could also drive price movement. Furthermore, large trades by individual participants on Kalshi can create short-term volatility, reflecting a strong conviction about the potential outcome of the Metropolitanos versus Caracas contest.