TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 8:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Venezuela's Liga FUTVE between Metropolitanos and Academia Puerto Cabello. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Metropolitanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer match originally scheduled for August 2, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Three distinct markets correspond to the three possible outcomes: Metropolitanos win, Academia Puerto Cabello win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the governing rules. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular time including stoppage time.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and betting constraints. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader public betting patterns and adjusted margins, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to variations in implied probabilities, especially when niche or localized factors influence trader behavior on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through continuous bidding and asking, which determines the current chance percentages for each outcome. The top outcome’s implied probability reflects collective trader assessment of likely results, with liquidity and volume affecting how quickly prices adjust. Market depth and recent trading activity on Kalshi shape the visible odds.
This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the market settles based on that verified score or winner. No further interpretation is needed beyond the publicly recorded match result.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or shifting tournament conditions can all influence trader sentiment and move this market. Weather updates, venue conditions, and recent form for either team may also cause price swings. As the match nears, any last-minute news or lineup announcements often trigger rapid shifts in odds on Kalshi.