TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 1:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This prediction group concerns the outcome of a women's cricket match between Derbyshire Women and Northamptonshire Women in the Metro Bank One Day Cup. The markets aim to predict which team will win the match, accounting for potential tiebreakers and match cancellations.
This market refers to the cricket match between Derbyshire Women and Northamptonshire Women scheduled for September 6 2026 in Metro Bank One Day Cup Women League 2. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
The event resolves based on the official winner of the Derbyshire vs Kent men's professional County Championship cricket match scheduled for September 8, 2026, at 5:30 AM EDT. If either team wins the match, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. In cases of forfeit, disqualification, or concession, markets resolve to $0.50 if the issue occurs before the match begins. If such an event occurs after play has started and the governing body declares a winner, the market resolves based on that declared result. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on all sides, while prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. However, both aim to accurately represent the probability of an event occurring, and both can be valuable tools for informed decision-making when considering the outcome of the Derbyshire Women versus Northamptonshire Women match.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a unique user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Metro Bank Women's Cup. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume can lead to greater price volatility. Furthermore, the specific market design and fee structures on each platform can influence trading behavior. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Derbyshire wins at an implied probability, while Kalshi leans toward Northamptonshire wins. These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the importance of considering multiple sources of information.