TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 5, 12:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Metro Bank One Day Cup cricket match between Sussex and Worcestershire will be completed or not. The current aggregated consensus probability for a completed match stands at 99.0%, drawing data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official results published by ESPNcricinfo. The outcome will be determined by the official match status as reported by ESPNcricinfo. Watch for updates leading up to the scheduled match date of August 14, 2026, as this will be the key catalyst for resolution.
This market refers to the cricket match between Sussex and Worcestershire scheduled for 2026-08-07 in Metro Bank One Day Cup.
The market resolves to Yes for the specified team if they are declared the official winner of the match. Should the match conclude in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. If a forfeit, disqualification, or concession happens before the match begins, markets resolve to $0.50. If such events occur after the match starts and the governing body declares a winner, the market resolves according to that outcome.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can diverge because of differences in user participation, liquidity, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more professional traders who react quickly to new data, while the other could have a larger base of casual bettors. These variations in who is trading and how fast they act often create price gaps, especially as the match approaches. Additionally, each venue may handle order execution slightly differently, further influencing the displayed odds.
Injuries, weather delays, pitch conditions, and tactical changes can all shift this market close to resolution. Key moments like a strong batting performance or a sudden collapse may cause rapid price swings. Traders will also watch for any last-minute team announcements or umpires’ decisions that could affect the final result, often moving probabilities in the final hours before the market settles.