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405,232

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2,693

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Metro Bank One Day Cup: Northamptonshire vs Lancashire
polymarket
kalshi

Metro Bank One Day Cup: Northamptonshire vs Lancashire

Volume:
$1,677,100

Birmingham Phoenix

 - Kalshi

Birmingham Phoenix - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 8:41 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Birmingham Phoenix

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,019,824
N/A
N/A
$326,747
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Metro Bank One Day Cup: Northamptonshire vs Lancashire

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,603
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Welsh Fire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$647,673
N/A
N/A
$268,936
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Metro Bank One Day Cup cricket match between Northamptonshire and Lancashire. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 94.5%. Data is drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution provided by ESPNcricinfo. The key catalyst to monitor will be the official match result, scheduled for August 2, 2026, which will determine the market's final settlement according to the unified resolution criteria.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms rely on the official match result from ESPNcricinfo, with consistent rules for ties, cancellations, and the use of credible reporting if necessary.Primary resolution logic: ESPNcricinfo

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the official match result published by ESPNcricinfo
  • If the match ends in a tie without a tiebreak, the market resolves 50-50
  • If the match is canceled or abandoned, the market resolves 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie without tiebreak: The market resolves 50-50 if the match ends in a tie and no on-field tiebreak is used or available
  • Cancellation or abandonment: The market resolves 50-50 if the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or completed without a winner
Timing: The market resolves once the official match result is published by ESPNcricinfo, or within 2 hours after the event's conclusion if ESPNcricinfo has not published the resultOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the cricket match between Northamptonshire and Lancashire scheduled for August 2 2026 in Metro Bank One Day Cup. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the winner of the Birmingham Phoenix vs Welsh Fire women's professional The Hundred match scheduled for August 1, 2026. If Birmingham Phoenix wins, their market resolves to Yes, and Welsh Fire's market resolves to No. If Welsh Fire wins, their market resolves to Yes, and Birmingham Phoenix's market resolves to No. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. In the event of a forfeit, disqualification, or concession before the match begins, all markets resolve to $0.50. If such events occur after play has started and the governing body declares a winner, the market resolves based on that declared result. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Northamptonshire vs Lancashire match aggregates data from multiple platforms, showing real-time probabilities and volume for this market. It displays how Polymarket and Kalshi price the match, along with total volume of $1,677,100. The view offers a consensus of trader sentiment and lets users compare how each venue evaluates the likelihood of different outcomes in this match.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform attracts distinct trader groups and may have different liquidity levels. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one venue might see heavier betting from regional fans, shifting its implied probability. Additionally, each platform calculates its own fees and may update probabilities on different schedules, all of which can create gaps between the two markets.

In the run-up to resolution, anything that changes the perceived strength of the teams can shift this market. Key signals include player injuries, weather forecasts affecting pitch conditions, recent form in warm-up matches, and any last-minute squad announcements. Major news on Polymarket or Kalshi — like a sudden surge in trading volume — can also push probabilities quickly as traders react to new information.