TOTAL VOLUME:
$105.6b
24H VOL:
$121,691,256
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,104,424,660
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,140,851,648
229,021
Markets across
22,280
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,679
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
44%
VS.
Kalshi:
56%
This market tracks whether the Metro Bank One Day Cup cricket match between Essex and Hampshire will be completed, aggregating data from Polymarket and Kalshi. The current consensus probability for a completed match stands at 100%, with resolution sourced from official results published by ESPNcricinfo. The outcome will be determined by the official match result, which is expected to be declared by the end of the event window on August 7, 2026. Watch for any official updates or confirmations from ESPNcricinfo as the event date approaches.
This market refers to the cricket match between Essex and Hampshire scheduled for 2026-07-31 in Metro Bank One Day Cup.
The event resolves based on the official winner of the Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets men's professional The Hundred cricket match scheduled for July 31, 2026. If either team is declared the official winner by the governing body, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the match end in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. In cases of forfeit, disqualification, or concession, markets resolve to $0.50 if the issue occurs before play begins; if it occurs after play starts and an official winner is declared, the market resolves according to that result. The governing body's official declaration is the sole determinant of resolution.
Prediction market odds on this market reflect trader sentiment and can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines due to different pricing mechanisms and participant dynamics. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors or adjustments, prediction markets let traders bet directly on their outlook, often resulting in probabilities that shift rapidly with new information. The spread between the two can be as wide as 1.0 at times, influenced by volume, public sentiment, and unique trader positioning on each platform.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform attracts distinct trader bases and liquidity profiles. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This often leads to differences in how probabilities are assessed and traded. For instance, one venue might see heavier betting on a particular outcome, shifting its price more than the other. Such divergences can also arise from variations in fee structures, market design, or the timing of large trades, all of which affect the current odds shown for participants.
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result is determined by official match records and widely accepted sports data sources, ensuring an impartial and transparent resolution process that aligns with real-world results.
Injuries, weather updates, team form leading up to the match, and tactical announcements can all shift this market. Key moments such as player selections, pitch conditions, or changes in coaching strategy might cause rapid adjustments in trader sentiment. As the event nears, any news that impacts the perceived likelihood of different outcomes—whether from pre-match analysis or last-minute developments—could produce noticeable movements in probability and volume on both platforms.