TOTAL VOLUME:

$105.6b

24H VOL:

$121,691,256

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,104,424,660

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,140,851,648

229,021

Markets across

22,280

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,679

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

44%

VS.

Kalshi:

56%

BETA
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks whether the Metro Bank One Day Cup cricket match between Essex and Hampshire will be completed, aggregating data from Polymarket and Kalshi. The current consensus probability for a completed match stands at 100%, with resolution sourced from official results published by ESPNcricinfo. The outcome will be determined by the official match result, which is expected to be declared by the end of the event window on August 7, 2026. Watch for any official updates or confirmations from ESPNcricinfo as the event date approaches.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both markets use ESPNcricinfo as the primary resolution source with clear criteria for toss winners and match completion statusPrimary resolution logic: https://www.espncricinfo.com/

Core resolution logic:

  • Toss winner resolves based on official toss result recorded by ESPNcricinfo
  • Match completion resolves Yes if any official result is declared (including draws), No if match is abandoned, canceled, or ends without result
  • Postponed/rescheduled matches remain open until played or officially canceled

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Permanent cancellation: Toss market resolves 50-50, completion market resolves No
  • Match abandoned after toss: Toss market resolves according to recorded toss winner, completion market resolves No
Timing: Resolution occurs when ESPNcricinfo publishes final match status, typically within 24 hours of match conclusionOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market refers to the cricket match between Essex and Hampshire scheduled for 2026-07-31 in Metro Bank One Day Cup.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official winner of the Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets men's professional The Hundred cricket match scheduled for July 31, 2026. If either team is declared the official winner by the governing body, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the match end in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. In cases of forfeit, disqualification, or concession, markets resolve to $0.50 if the issue occurs before play begins; if it occurs after play starts and an official winner is declared, the market resolves according to that result. The governing body's official declaration is the sole determinant of resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, the Essex vs Hampshire match outcome market aggregates trader sentiment and liquidity across platforms. The dashboard displays real-time probability estimates, volume of $2,651,288, and 24-hour volume of $2,650,899 to visualize consensus and momentum. This view lets participants compare how the market prices the likelihood of different results as the event approaches, offering a snapshot of collective expectations drawn from trader activity on multiple venues.

Prediction market odds on this market reflect trader sentiment and can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines due to different pricing mechanisms and participant dynamics. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors or adjustments, prediction markets let traders bet directly on their outlook, often resulting in probabilities that shift rapidly with new information. The spread between the two can be as wide as 1.0 at times, influenced by volume, public sentiment, and unique trader positioning on each platform.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform attracts distinct trader bases and liquidity profiles. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This often leads to differences in how probabilities are assessed and traded. For instance, one venue might see heavier betting on a particular outcome, shifting its price more than the other. Such divergences can also arise from variations in fee structures, market design, or the timing of large trades, all of which affect the current odds shown for participants.

This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result is determined by official match records and widely accepted sports data sources, ensuring an impartial and transparent resolution process that aligns with real-world results.

Injuries, weather updates, team form leading up to the match, and tactical announcements can all shift this market. Key moments such as player selections, pitch conditions, or changes in coaching strategy might cause rapid adjustments in trader sentiment. As the event nears, any news that impacts the perceived likelihood of different outcomes—whether from pre-match analysis or last-minute developments—could produce noticeable movements in probability and volume on both platforms.