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406,422

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2,688

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Merzlikin Valerii vs. Zhyrnov Oleksandr
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Merzlikin Valerii vs Zhyrnov Oleksandr?

Volume:
$537,421

Vito Mielnicki Jr.

 - Kalshi

Vito Mielnicki Jr. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Sep 4, 11:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Vito Mielnicki Jr.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$232,952
N/A
N/A
$157,236
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Austin Williams

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$304,469
N/A
N/A
$194,190
Settled
No
polymarket

Merzlikin Valerii vs. Zhyrnov Oleksandr

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Merzlikin Valerii vs. Zhyrnov Oleksandr Total Games O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Merzlikin Valerii vs. Zhyrnov Oleksandr Total Games O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Merzlikin Valerii vs. Zhyrnov Oleksandr Game Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Merzlikin Valerii vs. Zhyrnov Oleksandr Game Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 7

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Vito Mielnicki Jr. vs Austin Williams boxing match. Currently, the consensus probability of Vito Mielnicki Jr. winning is 99.0%, with Austin Williams at 1.0%. This aggregation combines data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting as a fallback if official data is delayed. Keep an eye on August 29 at 6:40AM ET, as the outcome of the Setka Cup Ukraine Men table tennis match between Merzlikin Valerii and Zhyrnov Oleksandr will determine resolution of the associated prediction markets.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms align on using the match result to determine resolution, with consistent handling of cancellations, ties, delays, retirements, and walkoversPrimary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting as a fallback if official data is delayed

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Merzlikin Valerii' if he wins the match
  • The market resolves to 'Zhyrnov Oleksandr' if he wins the match
  • If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, the market resolves to 50-50
  • If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the advancing player
  • If the match ends in a walkover, the market resolves to 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Cancellation or Tie: Market resolves to 50-50 if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner determined
  • Retirement or Disqualification: If the match begins but is not completed due to one player's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances
  • Walkover: If one player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, the market resolves to 50-50
Timing: Resolution occurs once the official match result is published by the governing body or event organizers, or within 2 hours after the event's conclusion if official data is delayed, using credible reportingOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the table tennis match between Merzlikin Valerii and Zhyrnov Oleksandr in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for August 29 at 6:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Merzlikin Valerii' if Merzlikin Valerii wins against Zhyrnov Oleksandr. This market will resolve to 'Zhyrnov Oleksandr' if Zhyrnov Oleksandr wins against Merzlikin Valerii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If Vito Mielnicki Jr. wins the Vito Mielnicki Jr. vs Austin Williams boxing match originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Austin Williams wins the Vito Mielnicki Jr. vs Austin Williams boxing match originally scheduled for Sep 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Merzlikin vs. Zhyrnov match-up market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of different outcomes. It displays current probabilities, volume of $537,421, and 24-hour volume of $499,519 across platforms. This centralized view helps users monitor sentiment shifts and compare how Polymarket and Kalshi users evaluate this market. The dashboard updates continuously, offering a snapshot of collective prediction and trading activity as the event approaches.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can vary because of differences in user base, liquidity, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform may attract more retail traders reacting quickly to news, while the other could have deeper institutional participation, leading to more stable pricing. Additionally, each venue sets its own fee structure and trading rules, which influence how odds adjust to new information. These factors combined often result in distinct probability assessments for this market across the two platforms.