TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Manhattan Jaspers (W)
Volume:
$8,382
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Women's College Basketball (WBB) game between Merrimack College Warriors and Manhattan Jaspers scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria is logically contradictory: it states both a Manhattan win and a Merrimack win resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a binary Yes/No market. This makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until the platform issues a correction. The market terms are internally inconsistent. Polymarket's logic is sound and resolvable. Focus trading activity on Polymarket.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Merrimack win resolves to 'Merrimack College Warriors'; Manhattan win resolves to 'Manhattan Jaspers'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory terms. States 'If Manhattan wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Merrimack wins... resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes cannot resolve to the same value in a binary market. Market is unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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