TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 2:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory in an upcoming soccer match between Merelinense and At. Arcos. Bettors can speculate on whether either team will win by a specific number of goals or more during regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets collectively determine whether Merelinense or At. Arcos will secure a win by exceeding specified goal margins in the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time of their Taca de Portugal match scheduled for August 30, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold: Merelinense winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, and At. Arcos winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. All outcomes are strictly limited to regular time; extra time and penalty phases are excluded from consideration. The resolution hinges solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, without regard to subsequent match phases. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match score after 90 minutes of regulation play, without accounting for extra time or penalties. As long as the final score meets the criteria for the selected outcome, the market settles automatically based on publicly available game records.
Key signals such as player injuries, weather forecasts, coaching strategies, or recent performance trends may shift this market closer to Aug 30, 2026. Updates from reliable sports news sources, team announcements, and shifts in betting sentiment on Kalshi can also influence trader behavior. As the match approaches, any last-minute changes — like lineup announcements or tactical adjustments — may cause rapid price movements, reflecting evolving expectations about the final regulation-time spread.