This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Mercyhurst Lakers and Wagner Seahawks scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi both allow traders to bet on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Wagner win and Mercyhurst win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary winner resolution.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The market as documented cannot resolve correctly. Polymarket is the reliable source for this matchup.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Standard binary resolution: Mercyhurst victory resolves to Mercyhurst Lakers; Wagner victory resolves to Wagner Seahawks. Postponements keep market open; full cancellations resolve 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Contradictory logic: states both If Wagner wins then Yes AND If Mercyhurst wins then Yes. This is logically impossible since exactly one team will win. Market cannot resolve to a single outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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