TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a NCAA Division I men's college basketball game between Mercyhurst Lakers and Stonehill Skyhawks scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spreads at -1.5 and -2.5, and total points over/under at 135.5, 137.5, and 139.5.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market has a logical flaw: it resolves to Yes for both possible game outcomes (Mercyhurst win OR Stonehill win), creating an unresolvable market structure with no defined No resolution path for completed games. Polymarket markets are properly structured with binary outcomes and clear cancellation logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi contract in its current form - it is logically unresolvable for any completed game. Polymarket moneyline, spread, and total markets are properly constructed. Use NCAA.com final scores including overtime as the settlement source. If game is canceled with no make-up, Polymarket resolves 50-50; Kalshi's resolution is undefined.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to Mercyhurst Lakers or Stonehill Skyhawks based on final score. Spreads resolve based on margin of victory. Totals resolve based on combined points. All use final score including overtime. Cancellation with no make-up resolves 50-50. Key Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.Kalshi:
Market resolves to Yes if Mercyhurst wins the game OR if Stonehill wins the game. No defined No resolution path for any completed game outcome. Key Quote: If Mercyhurst wins...resolves to Yes. If Stonehill wins...resolves to Yes. (No alternative outcome specified.)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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