TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Stonehill Skyhawks
polymarket
kalshi

Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Stonehill Skyhawks

Volume:
$361,508

Mercyhurst

 - Kalshi

Mercyhurst - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mercyhurst

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$134,296
N/A
N/A
$68,818
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Stonehill Skyhawks

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$76,639
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 135.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$42,238
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 137.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,812
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,916
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$344
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 139.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Stonehill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99,134
N/A
N/A
$53,484
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event group covers a NCAA Division I men's college basketball game between Mercyhurst Lakers and Stonehill Skyhawks scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spreads at -1.5 and -2.5, and total points over/under at 135.5, 137.5, and 139.5.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market has a logical flaw: it resolves to Yes for both possible game outcomes (Mercyhurst win OR Stonehill win), creating an unresolvable market structure with no defined No resolution path for completed games. Polymarket markets are properly structured with binary outcomes and clear cancellation logic.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi contract in its current form - it is logically unresolvable for any completed game. Polymarket moneyline, spread, and total markets are properly constructed. Use NCAA.com final scores including overtime as the settlement source. If game is canceled with no make-up, Polymarket resolves 50-50; Kalshi's resolution is undefined.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Mercyhurst Lakers or Stonehill Skyhawks based on final score. Spreads resolve based on margin of victory. Totals resolve based on combined points. All use final score including overtime. Cancellation with no make-up resolves 50-50. Key Quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Market resolves to Yes if Mercyhurst wins the game OR if Stonehill wins the game. No defined No resolution path for any completed game outcome. Key Quote: If Mercyhurst wins...resolves to Yes. If Stonehill wins...resolves to Yes. (No alternative outcome specified.)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.