TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Mercer vs. Abilene Christian
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Mercer vs. Abilene Christian?

Volume:
$1,096,108

Mercer

 - Kalshi

Mercer - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 12:43 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mercer

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$301,307
N/A
N/A
$109,771
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mercer vs. Abilene Christian

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19,276
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Abilene Christian

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$764,026
N/A
N/A
$646,032
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,914
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$525
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 57.5

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 61.5

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 51.5

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 59.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2H Moneyline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
94¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 23

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Mercer vs. Abilene Christian college football game, specifically whether Mercer will win the 2nd half moneyline. Currently, the consensus probability of Mercer vs. Abilene Christian winning the 2nd half moneyline is 100.0%. This aggregation combines data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on the final game score as reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 26th, as the outcome will determine resolution, with a final resolution date estimate of 2026-09-27.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers a wide range of markets (spreads, over/under) in addition to the winner, while Kalshi only offers a market on the winner.Hero tip: Polymarket offers more granular trading opportunities, but the spread markets carry higher risk due to their sensitivity to score changes. Kalshi provides a simpler, winner-takes-all market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers markets on the winner, multiple spread levels, and multiple over/under levels. Resolution is based on the final game score, with tie and cancellation rules specified. "This market will resolve to "Mercer" if Mercer win the game."
  • Kalshi: Only offers a market on the winner. Resolution is based on the winner of the game. "If Abilene Christian wins the Mercer vs Abilene Christian college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Mercer and Abilene Christian, scheduled for September 26 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mercer" if Mercer win the game. This market will resolve to "Abilene Christian" if Abilene Christian win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the college football game originally scheduled for September 26, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. Therefore, comparing the probabilities offered here with those from sportsbooks can provide valuable insights into market sentiment regarding the Mercer vs. Abilene Christian game.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which influence price discovery. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, differing levels of liquidity on each platform can also contribute to price discrepancies. For example, a large trade on one platform might have a more significant impact on the price than the same trade on a more liquid platform. These variations are normal and reflect the independent price discovery process occurring on each exchange regarding the Mercer vs. Abilene Christian game.