TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Men's Round of 16 - Switzerland vs. Italy
Volume:
$498,587
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Men's Ice Hockey Round of 16 match between Switzerland and Italy scheduled for February 17, 2026 at the Winter Olympics. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, including overtime and shootout outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory, stating both Switzerland and Italy wins resolve to Yes, which violates binary market logic. Polymarket provides clear, mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether this is a data entry error or intentional design. The market as written is logically unresolvable. Polymarket is the safer venue for this match outcome prediction.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market: resolves to Switzerland or Italy based on final score including overtime and shootouts. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts.'
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory: states both 'If Italy wins... resolves to Yes' and 'If Switzerland wins... resolves to Yes', making it impossible to determine a unique resolution outcome. Key quote: Both conditions map to Yes resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.