TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

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30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Men's Round of 16 - Switzerland vs. Italy
polymarket
kalshi

Men's Round of 16 - Switzerland vs. Italy

Volume:
$498,587

Men's Round of 16 - Switzerland vs. Italy

 - Polymarket

Men's Round of 16 - Switzerland vs. Italy - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 17, 2026

Men's Round of 16 - Switzerland vs. Italy

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Men's Round of 16 - Switzerland vs. Italy

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$387,530
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Switzerland

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$2,265
$43,926
0%
0%
$41,885
N/A
kalshi

Italy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,685
$67,131
0%
0%
$47,252
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the Men's Ice Hockey Round of 16 match between Switzerland and Italy scheduled for February 17, 2026 at the Winter Olympics. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, including overtime and shootout outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory, stating both Switzerland and Italy wins resolve to Yes, which violates binary market logic. Polymarket provides clear, mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero tip: Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether this is a data entry error or intentional design. The market as written is logically unresolvable. Polymarket is the safer venue for this match outcome prediction.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary outcome market: resolves to Switzerland or Italy based on final score including overtime and shootouts. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts.'
  • Kalshi: Logically contradictory: states both 'If Italy wins... resolves to Yes' and 'If Switzerland wins... resolves to Yes', making it impossible to determine a unique resolution outcome. Key quote: Both conditions map to Yes resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.