TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Men's Round of 16 - Sweden vs. Latvia
Volume:
$802,759
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Men's Round of 16 ice hockey match between Sweden and Latvia at the 2026 Winter Olympics, scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 3:10 PM EST. Markets across platforms are betting on the winner of this single game, with resolution based on final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves to Yes for both possible decisive outcomes (Sweden win OR Latvia win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable as a competitive winner-pick. Polymarket correctly specifies binary outcomes (Sweden vs Latvia) with clear edge case handling.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the platform clarifies the intended resolution logic. The current wording suggests either a drafting error or a non-standard market type. Polymarket is the reliable reference for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both Sweden winning and Latvia winning resolve to Yes. This creates a tautology where any decisive result is a Yes resolution, making it impossible to distinguish between outcomes. The market appears designed to resolve Yes if the game is played and completed, not to pick a winner.
- Polymarket: Resolves to Sweden or Latvia based on final winner. Includes explicit handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Resolution includes overtime and shootout goals. Clear binary outcome structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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