TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakia
Volume:
$387,852
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Men's Ice Hockey match between Sweden and Slovakia scheduled for February 14, 2026, at the Winter Olympics. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-1.5), and total goals (Over/Under 5.5) outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Sweden and Slovakia wins are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are logically sound but use incompatible resolution structures (categorical vs binary).Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market. It will fail to settle. Trade only Polymarket's three markets (moneyline, spread, total), which are logically consistent and use standard resolution mechanics (postponement = market remains open; cancellation with no makeup = 50-50 split).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Slovakia wins, resolve Yes. If Sweden wins, resolve Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution value. No mechanism exists to differentiate the two outcomes.
- Polymarket: Three distinct markets with consistent logic: (1) Moneyline resolves to either Sweden or Slovakia (mutually exclusive); (2) Spread resolves to Sweden if win by 2+ goals, else Slovakia; (3) Total resolves to Over if 6+ combined goals, else Under. All use standard postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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