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$134.1b

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$133,388,117

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405,232

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30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Men's Group B - Italy vs. Slovakia
kalshi
polymarket

Men's Group B - Italy vs. Slovakia

Volume:
$511,546

Men's Group B - Italy vs. Slovakia

 - Polymarket

Men's Group B - Italy vs. Slovakia - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Feb 13, 5:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
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Volume
24h
7d
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Result
polymarket

Men's Group B - Italy vs. Slovakia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$285,997
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Slovakia

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$59,890
$84,680
0%
0%
$77,973
N/A
kalshi

Italy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$915
$140,869
0%
0%
$132,786
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the Men's Ice Hockey match between Italy and Slovakia scheduled for February 13, 2026, during the Winter Olympics Group B round-robin phase. The markets track the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime and shootout results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's binary Yes/No structure collapses both Italy and Slovakia wins into Yes, making it impossible to differentiate outcomes. Polymarket uses categorical resolution (Italy vs Slovakia vs 50-50 cancel), which is logically sound and matches the event's true outcome space.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's market entirely for directional exposure. It will resolve Yes regardless of which team wins, so it only hedges game-cancellation risk, not team performance. Use Polymarket for actual win prediction.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No resolution that treats both Slovakia win and Italy win as Yes outcomes. This eliminates outcome differentiation. Key Quote: Both Slovakia and Italy wins resolve to Yes.
  • Polymarket: Categorical resolution mapping to team name (Italy or Slovakia) or 50-50 split if canceled. Preserves full outcome information and includes explicit cancellation protocol. Key Quote: If Italy win resolves to Italy, if Slovakia win resolves to Slovakia, if canceled resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.