TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.6b

24H VOL:

$283,259,638

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,235,549,422

505,521

Markets across

13,661

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,892

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
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kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Men's Group B - Finland vs. Italy

Volume:
$657,859
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
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Description

This event group covers the Men's Ice Hockey match between Finland and Italy scheduled for February 14, 2026, during the Winter Olympics Group B round. Markets track the winner, point spread, and total goals scored across multiple prediction platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both Finland and Italy winning are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent, mutually exclusive resolution criteria.

Hero Tip:

Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution logic is broken - both teams winning cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary market. Use Polymarket as the reliable source for this matchup. Request clarification from Kalshi before engaging.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Market definition states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Italy wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Finland wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical impossibility for a binary market and indicates a template or definition error. No clear resolution path exists.
  • Polymarket: Provides three mutually exclusive outcomes: Finland win resolves to 'Finland', Italy win resolves to 'Italy', cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Shootout outcomes are clarified (one goal added to winner's score). This is logically coherent and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.