TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Men's Group A - France vs. Czechia
Volume:
$633,598
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Men's Ice Hockey match between France and Czechia scheduled for February 13, 2026, at the Winter Olympics. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, including overtime and shootout outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses a binary Yes/No structure that resolves to Yes for any winner, while Polymarket uses categorical resolution (France or Czechia). Polymarket explicitly addresses postponement and cancellation scenarios; Kalshi does not.Hero Tip:
Understand that you are trading different market structures. Kalshi's Yes outcome covers both teams, making it unsuitable for directional France vs Czechia bets. Polymarket allows you to pick a specific winner. If cancellation risk concerns you, Polymarket's 50-50 clause is more favorable than Kalshi's undefined behavior. Cross-platform arbitrage is not possible due to structural incompatibility.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market. Resolves to Yes if either Czech Republic or France wins the game on Feb 13, 2026. No differentiation between winners. No explicit cancellation or postponement language provided.
- Polymarket: Categorical market. Resolves to France if France wins, Czechia if Czechia wins. Explicitly handles postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Resolution includes overtime and shootout outcomes with one goal added to winner's score for shootout resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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