TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Men's French Open: Semifinals Qualifiers
kalshi

Men's French Open: Semifinals Qualifiers

Volume:
$88,143

Matteo Arnaldi

 - Kalshi

Matteo Arnaldi - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 3, 2026

Closed: Jun 3, 4:56 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Matteo Arnaldi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,856
N/A
N/A
$6,654
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Flavio Cobolli

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,641
N/A
N/A
$5,478
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alexander Zverev

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,558
N/A
N/A
$1,872
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jakub Mensik

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,253
N/A
N/A
$2,197
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Felix Auger-Aliassime

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,468
N/A
N/A
$12,367
Settled
No
kalshi

Matteo Berrettini

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,967
N/A
N/A
$13,629
Settled
No
kalshi

Novak Djokovic

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,822
N/A
N/A
$3,683
Settled
No
kalshi

Learner Tien

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,710
N/A
N/A
$3,653
Settled
No
kalshi

Rafael Jodar

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,533
N/A
N/A
$1,965
Settled
No
kalshi

Frances Tiafoe

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,459
N/A
N/A
$3,191
Settled
No
kalshi

Casper Ruud

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,275
N/A
N/A
$2,274
Settled
No
kalshi

Joao Fonseca

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,016
N/A
N/A
$2,695
Settled
No
kalshi

Raphael Collignon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,569
N/A
N/A
$787
Settled
No
kalshi

Martin Landaluce

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,538
N/A
N/A
$813
Settled
No
kalshi

Andrey Rublev

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,384
N/A
N/A
$1,359
Settled
No
kalshi

Thanasi Kokkinakis

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,046
N/A
N/A
$1,046
Settled
No
kalshi

Luca Van Assche

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$781
N/A
N/A
$713
Settled
No
kalshi

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$725
N/A
N/A
$715
Settled
No
kalshi

Adam Walton

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$723
N/A
N/A
$723
Settled
No
kalshi

Vit Kopriva

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$723
N/A
N/A
$713
Settled
No
kalshi

Lorenzo Sonego

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$715
N/A
N/A
$715
Settled
No
kalshi

Miomir Kecmanovic

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$713
N/A
N/A
$713
Settled
No
kalshi

James Duckworth

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$713
N/A
N/A
$713
Settled
No
kalshi

Nishesh Basavareddy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$713
N/A
N/A
$713
Settled
No
kalshi

Ugo Humbert

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$713
N/A
N/A
$713
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 56

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether Matteo Arnaldi will advance to the Semifinals of the 2026 French Open Men's Singles tournament. The leading outcome currently stands at 94.0% probability. Resolution is determined by official French Open results as published by the tournament organizers. Watch for Arnaldi's performance in the quarterfinal round, scheduled to conclude by June 8, 2026, which will determine his path to the final four.

Frequently asked questions

The Men's French Open: Semifinals Qualifiers dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for which players will advance to the semifinals of the 2026 French Open men's singles tournament. The dashboard displays current odds for each qualifier outcome, historical price movements, and live market depth. Total group volume across all related markets stands at $88,143, with $24,531 in the last 24 hours, reflecting active trader interest in semifinal qualification predictions. This single-venue dashboard provides a transparent view of how prediction market participants are pricing each player's likelihood of reaching the semifinals.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi for Men's French Open: Semifinals Qualifiers often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment and continuous trading rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds less frequently and incorporate margin, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from thousands of traders with direct financial incentive to price outcomes accurately. For semifinal qualifiers, prediction market prices may lead sportsbook adjustments when new information emerges, such as player injuries or recent form changes. Comparing the two venues can reveal whether consensus favors or doubts particular players' advancement chances.

The Men's French Open: Semifinals Qualifiers market resolves on Jun 8, 2026, when the tournament structure determines which players have advanced to the semifinals. Resolution is based on official tournament results and the bracket progression through the quarterfinals. Each qualifier outcome contract settles to 100 or 0 depending on whether that player reaches the semifinals. Traders should monitor the official French Open schedule and match results as the tournament unfolds to track which players remain in contention for semifinal spots.

Several catalysts can shift odds for Men's French Open: Semifinals Qualifiers before Jun 8, 2026. Quarterfinal match results directly determine advancement, so upsets or dominant performances will immediately reprrice semifinal qualifier contracts. Player injuries or withdrawals announced before or during the tournament can dramatically alter qualification odds. Recent form leading into the French Open, such as strong or weak performances in warm-up events, influences trader expectations. Seeding changes, draw announcements, and head-to-head matchup details also drive trading activity. Real-time commentary and expert analysis during matches can trigger rapid price movements as new information reaches the market.