TOTAL VOLUME:
$143b
24H VOL:
$111,424,783
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,661,467,257
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,630,632,565
494,234
Markets across
37,330
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,871
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Memphis wins by over 1.5 points
- Kalshi
Memphis wins by over 1.5 points - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 17, 2026
Time left: 04h:49m:24s
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This market tracks whether Memphis will win against Tulane by more than 1.5 points in their upcoming college football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 68.0% probability to Memphis winning by over 1.5 points. Resolution will be based on the final score of the Memphis vs Tulane game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, as determined by the official game results. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the Oct 16, 2026 fixture.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Memphis vs Tulane college football game scheduled for October 16, 2026. For Memphis win markets, resolution occurs if Memphis wins by more than the specified point margin. For Tulane win markets, resolution occurs if Tulane wins by more than the specified point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these specific conditions.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within each venue. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Memphis vs Tulane game. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual spread will fall within that range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards a collective assessment of the spread's likelihood, influenced by available information and analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Memphis vs Tulane game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body for college football. The platform will then determine which contracts settle at a value of 100, representing a winning outcome for those who purchased contracts on the correct spread. Traders holding losing contracts will receive a payout proportional to the contract's value at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either the Memphis or Tulane teams would likely cause movement. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even substantial public betting patterns in sportsbooks could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even late-breaking news about team morale, could also contribute to fluctuations in the price of contracts representing the Memphis vs Tulane spread.