TOTAL VOLUME:
$143.5b
24H VOL:
$195,145,316
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,692,168,434
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,731,064,451
482,647
Markets across
36,631
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,924
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Memphis will win against Charlotte by more than 6.5 points in their college football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Memphis winning by over 6.5 points. Resolution will be determined based on the outcome of the Memphis vs Charlotte college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, as defined by the resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 3, 2026, as the final score will determine whether Memphis exceeds the 13.5-point threshold needed for a ‘Yes’ resolution.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Memphis vs Charlotte college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. For Memphis-based markets, resolution occurs if Memphis's victory margin surpasses the specified point threshold. The lone Charlotte market resolves if Charlotte wins by more than 1.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve per the actual result. If the game does not commence within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent views. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Memphis vs Charlotte spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Memphis vs Charlotte spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on supply and demand; if more people buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and generate a forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result reported by the relevant sports authorities. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Memphis or Charlotte teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news about player availability or strategic shifts could lead to rapid adjustments in the price, reflecting the evolving expectations surrounding the Memphis vs Charlotte spread.