TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC
Volume:
$205,015
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional A-League soccer match between Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC scheduled for April 5, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss), total goals scored, and are hosted across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket markets use identical time scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties), identical primary source (official A-League statistics), and identical fallback logic (credible reporting consensus after 2-hour delay). All edge cases (postponement, cancellation, source delay) are handled consistently across platforms.
Primary resolution logic:
Official A-League statistics as published by the governing body (a-league.com.au); if unavailable within 2 hours after match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting sources.Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome (win/draw/loss for Polymarket) and total goals (Kalshi) resolve based on final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only.
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from all resolution calculations.
- Official A-League statistics are the primary resolution source; credible reporting consensus is secondary if official data is delayed beyond 2 hours post-match.
- Kalshi total goals markets resolve Yes if collective goals exceed specified thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, or 4.5); otherwise No.
- Polymarket outcome markets resolve Yes/No based on match result (Melbourne Victory win, draw, or Wellington Phoenix win).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed. Resolution occurs based on the rescheduled match result.
- Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket outcome markets (Melbourne Victory win, Wellington Phoenix win) resolve No. Kalshi total goals markets resolve No (goals did not exceed thresholds).
- Official Statistics Delay: If A-League does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources (e.g., major sports news outlets, league announcements).
- Draw Cancellation Anomaly: Polymarket draw market uniquely resolves Yes if the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game; all other cancellations resolve No.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on April 5, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed). Official statistics or credible consensus must be available within 2 hours post-match for immediate resolution.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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