TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 3:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Melbourne Demons and North Melbourne Kangaroos, scheduled for September 25 at 5:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "Melbourne Demons" if Melbourne Demons is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "North Melbourne Kangaroos" if North Melbourne Kangaroos is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Melbourne Demons and North Melbourne Kangaroos, scheduled for September 25 at 5:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "Melbourne Demons" if Melbourne Demons is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "North Melbourne Kangaroos" if North Melbourne Kangaroos is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Melbourne Demons versus North Melbourne Kangaroos match. The market’s efficiency depends on active participation and informed trading.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the AFL match between the Melbourne Demons and North Melbourne Kangaroos, as reported by official AFL sources. The winning team, or a draw if applicable, will determine the settlement of shares in this market. Traders should monitor official AFL announcements for the final result and subsequent market closure.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Melbourne Demons or North Melbourne Kangaroos would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Team selection announcements, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market, as traders react to perceived changes in competitive advantage. Public sentiment and expert analysis, while not directly reflected in the market, can also indirectly affect trading behavior.