TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 2:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks a League of Legends match between mCon esports and Frites Esports Club set for September 8, 2026. It focuses on whether the match duration, measured in maps, surpasses specific thresholds, indicating a prolonged contest.
The event assesses two conditions based on the total maps played in the designated League of Legends match. The first market resolves to Yes if over 3.5 maps are played. The second market resolves to Yes if over 4.5 maps are played. A secondary rule states that the platform is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws nearer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total maps played in the mCon vs. Frites Esports match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more traders believe a certain outcome is likely, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the most up-to-date collective forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of maps played in the mCon vs. Frites Esports match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the event organizers. The final price of contracts on Kalshi will reflect the actual number of maps played, allowing traders to realize gains or losses based on the accuracy of their predictions. Any disputes will be resolved based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding player form, team strategies, or any unexpected roster changes could all shift trader sentiment. Significant announcements about the match schedule or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, in-match events, such as early map wins or dominant performances by one team, could lead to rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding situation. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.