TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Liga MX professional soccer match between Mazatlán FC and Club León FC scheduled for March 6, 2026. Three binary outcome markets are offered across platforms: whether Mazatlán wins, whether León wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets measure the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and postponement handling differs between platforms. Kalshi omits explicit cancellation logic, while Polymarket specifies that cancellation without a make-up game resolves the draw market to Yes and win markets to No.Hero Tip:
Monitor Liga MX official announcements for any postponement or cancellation. If canceled without a make-up, Polymarket positions will resolve asymmetrically: draw Yes, wins No. Kalshi's resolution path is undefined in this scenario. Hedge accordingly or seek clarification from Kalshi before match day.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Three mutually exclusive outcome markets (Mazatlán win, León win, tie) that resolve Yes if their outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Key Quote: 'does not include extra time or penalties.'Polymarket:
Three separate markets with explicit postponement and cancellation rules. Draw market resolves Yes on cancellation; Mazatlán and León win markets resolve No on cancellation. Postponement keeps markets open until completion. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) and 'this market will resolve No' (wins).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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