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2,388,728,490

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$1,391,695,592

394,774

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30,069

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2,615

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5

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Max Clark: Debut Date
kalshi

Max Clark: Debut Date

Volume:
$7,022

Before Sep 1, 2026

 - Kalshi

Before Sep 1, 2026 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 12:42 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before Sep 1, 2026

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,373
N/A
N/A
$3,241
1y 1mo
Yes
kalshi

Before Aug 1, 2026

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,780
N/A
N/A
$1,609
1y 1mo
Yes
kalshi

Before May 1, 2027

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$474
N/A
N/A
$428
1y 1mo
Yes
kalshi

Before Nov 1, 2026

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$472
N/A
N/A
$351
1y 1mo
Yes
kalshi

Before Nov 1, 2027

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$453
N/A
N/A
$429
1y 1mo
Yes
kalshi

Before Oct 1, 2026

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$310
N/A
N/A
$285
1y 1mo
Yes
kalshi

Before Jul 13, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$161
N/A
N/A
$131
1y 1mo
No
Total markets: 7

Intro

This market tracks whether baseball prospect Max Clark will appear in an MLB game for any team before May 1, 2027. On Kalshi, the probability that Clark plays in a regular season or playoff game stands at 85.0%. The market resolves based on whether Clark takes the field in an MLB game before September 1, 2026, as determined by official league records. Watch for Clark's assignment to an MLB roster during spring training and the start of the 2026 regular season, which will signal his readiness for his professional debut.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes based on progressive time windows for Max Clark's debut with any MLB team. If Clark plays in a regular season or playoff game before July 13, 2026, the earliest outcome resolves Yes. If he debuts between July 13 and August 1, 2026, the second outcome resolves Yes. Subsequent outcomes track debuts before September 1, October 1, November 1, 2026, then May 1, 2027, and finally November 1, 2027. Only the earliest applicable outcome resolves Yes; once a debut occurs, all subsequent time windows also satisfy their conditions but represent later debut scenarios.

Frequently asked questions

The Max Clark: Debut Date dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for when Max Clark will make his MLB debut. It displays the current probability that Max Clark plays in a game for any team in the MLB before May 1, 2027, along with historical price movements and market depth. The dashboard shows total group volume of $7,022 and 24-hour volume of $310, helping traders understand liquidity and recent market interest in this prospect's timeline to the majors.

Prediction markets like Kalshi operate independently from traditional sportsbooks, using real-time trader consensus rather than bookmaker-set lines. While sportsbooks focus on betting spreads and payouts, prediction markets aggregate the collective belief of traders into a probability estimate. For Max Clark's debut timing, the Kalshi market reflects what traders believe is the true likelihood of his appearance before May 1, 2027, offering a distinct signal compared to conventional sports betting venues and analyst forecasts.

The Max Clark: Debut Date market resolves on Nov 1, 2027. Resolution is determined by whether Max Clark appears in an official MLB game for any team on or before May 1, 2027. Traders should monitor official MLB records and team rosters as the deadline approaches to assess the likelihood of resolution. The binary outcome—either he debuts before the cutoff or he does not—will settle all open positions in the market.

Key catalysts for Max Clark: Debut Date include his performance in minor league play, injuries or setbacks, organizational roster changes, and promotions through the farm system. Spring training results, trades involving his team, or sudden call-ups due to injuries at the major league level could significantly shift trader sentiment. Media reports on his readiness, changes in team management or coaching, and competitive depth at his position will all influence market pricing as traders reassess the probability of his debut before May 1, 2027.