TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 12:40 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets determine whether the fight concludes before the beginning of a specified round. The outcomes depend on whether the fight ends prematurely due to a knockout, technical knockout, submission, disqualification, or other abrupt ending before the specified round starts.
The markets resolve if the fight ends before the start of Round 2 or Round 3. This includes any victory by KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification occurring in Round 1 for the Round 2 market, or occurring in Rounds 1 or 2 for the Round 3 market. The markets do not consider fights that proceed into or beyond the specified round, regardless of how they conclude.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect changing expectations. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and interest in each possible outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates available information.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Letho Duclos vs Dias fight, specifically whether the fight ends before round 3. Any official decision or announcement regarding the fight's conclusion will serve as the basis for determining the winning contract. Traders should monitor official sources for updates and the final result to understand the resolution process.
Several signals or events could significantly influence this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or pre-fight weigh-in results could all impact trader sentiment. Public statements from the fighters or their teams, as well as expert analysis from boxing commentators, may also shift the odds. Unexpected betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi could also indicate a change in market perception. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of the fight ending before round 3 has the potential to move this market.