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$103,397,351

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

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30,097

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Kalshi:

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Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinka: Set 2 Winner
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Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinka: Set 2 Winner

Volume:
$308,841

Matteo Berrettini

 - Kalshi

Matteo Berrettini - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 6:34 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Matteo Berrettini

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$205,545
N/A
N/A
$101,171
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Stan Wawrinka

0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$103,296
N/A
N/A
$51,304
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks who will win the second set in the Matteo Berrettini versus Stan Wawrinka match at the 2026 US Open, specifically on Kalshi, with settlement based on official match results. The current probability for Matteo Berrettini winning set 2 stands at 99.0%, while Stan Wawrinka’s chance is at 1.0%. The crucial catalyst to monitor is the match itself, scheduled to conclude no later than August 30, 2026, which will determine the set’s winner and resolve this market.

Kalshi

If Matteo Berrettini wins set 2 in the Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinka professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stan Wawrinka wins set 2 in the Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinka professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Set 2 winner market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $308,839. This view shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of each player claiming set two, with charts illustrating recent shifts in sentiment and overall volume of $308,841.

Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect sharper, more granular insights driven by engaged traders. While sportsbooks may publish a single line, this market allows continuous price discovery that can diverge based on new analysis, injury updates, or form assessments shared within the trading community.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds for this market by buying and selling contracts tied to each possible outcome. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with price movement reacting to any publicly available information that traders interpret as affecting the players' chances in set two.

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of set two is determined by official match records, and this market will close accordingly once the event is fully reported and beyond dispute.