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399,592
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Aug 31, 6:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks who will win the second set in the Matteo Berrettini versus Stan Wawrinka match at the 2026 US Open, specifically on Kalshi, with settlement based on official match results. The current probability for Matteo Berrettini winning set 2 stands at 99.0%, while Stan Wawrinka’s chance is at 1.0%. The crucial catalyst to monitor is the match itself, scheduled to conclude no later than August 30, 2026, which will determine the set’s winner and resolve this market.
If Matteo Berrettini wins set 2 in the Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinka professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stan Wawrinka wins set 2 in the Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinka professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect sharper, more granular insights driven by engaged traders. While sportsbooks may publish a single line, this market allows continuous price discovery that can diverge based on new analysis, injury updates, or form assessments shared within the trading community.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds for this market by buying and selling contracts tied to each possible outcome. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with price movement reacting to any publicly available information that traders interpret as affecting the players' chances in set two.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of set two is determined by official match records, and this market will close accordingly once the event is fully reported and beyond dispute.