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$141,541,542

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

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2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Kalshi:

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Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinka: Set 1 Winner
kalshi

Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinka: Set 1 Winner

Volume:
$172,986

Matteo Berrettini

 - Kalshi

Matteo Berrettini - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 4:59 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Matteo Berrettini

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$106,042
N/A
N/A
$77,885
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Stan Wawrinka

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$66,943
N/A
N/A
$52,563
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This market focuses on predicting which player will claim the first set in an upcoming tennis match between Matteo Berrettini and Stan Wawrinka at the 2026 US Open. The outcome depends solely on the result of the first set, regardless of how the overall match proceeds. It reflects the competitive dynamics and performance of both players in the early stages of their encounter.

Kalshi

If Matteo Berrettini wins set 1 in the Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinka professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stan Wawrinka wins set 1 in the Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinka professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Set 1 winner market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the outcome of the first set between the two players. It shows the current implied probability for each competitor to claim set one, along with a chart of how those odds have shifted over time. You can also see the total volume of $172,986 and the 24-hour volume of $165,021, giving you insight into trader interest and market activity as the match approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the first set will be the official result, and all trades will settle based on that determination. Timing aligns with the match schedule, so keep an eye on start times and any potential delays that could shift the resolution date slightly.

Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Key updates include player injuries, changes to the match surface or conditions, and any last-minute withdrawals or substitutions. Media interviews or expert commentary about form and confidence levels may also influence trader sentiment. As the start time approaches, betting patterns on related markets and live in-play updates could cause rapid price swings, especially if early breaks or service holds occur in the actual match.