TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. UMBC Retrievers (W)
Volume:
$3,646
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the University of Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks and the University of Maryland Baltimore County (UMBC) Retrievers scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (UMass Lowell win or UMBC win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
This is a critical flaw. The Kalshi market as written cannot distinguish between the two teams winning. Before trading, contact Kalshi support to confirm whether the second condition should resolve to No instead of Yes. Polymarket's winner-take-all structure is logically sound and should be your reference market.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean winner-take-all binary: UMass Lowell win resolves to 'Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks', UMBC win resolves to 'UMBC Retrievers'. Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) provisions. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Defective binary structure: Both UMass Lowell win AND UMBC win are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where no outcome can resolve to No, making the market unresolvable as currently written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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