TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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400,720
Markets across
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential in a college football game between Maryland and UConn. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Maryland vs UConn college football game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold; if the winning team exceeds this threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to align with those offered by sportsbooks, but subtle differences often emerge. Sportsbooks incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, ensuring profitability, while Kalshi allows traders to directly set prices based on their own assessments. This can sometimes lead to prediction markets offering more favorable odds, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, it's important to note that both reflect the collective wisdom of those making predictions, and significant discrepancies are relatively uncommon.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Maryland vs UConn spread will be above or below a certain value. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, providing a dynamic and potentially insightful view of the likely outcome. The current price indicates the market’s expectation of the spread at the time of your viewing.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maryland vs UConn game, specifically the final point spread. The platform will then determine which side of the spread was correct, and payouts will be issued to those who correctly predicted the outcome. It's important to monitor the event closely as it approaches to understand how the market is reacting to any late-breaking news or developments.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even public perception shifts based on analyst predictions could also play a role. Major news coverage or prominent endorsements could also move the market. As the game draws closer, real-time updates and any last-minute changes to the starting lineups will likely have the biggest impact on the price of contracts in this market.