TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Maryland Terrapins vs. Oregon Ducks
Volume:
$390,156
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Maryland Terrapins and Oregon Ducks scheduled for March 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET in Eugene, Oregon. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting (Oregon -3.5 and -4.5), and over/under total points wagering across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi offers 11 granular over/under thresholds (124.5 to 154.5) while Polymarket offers only 2 thresholds (138.5 and 139.5). The platforms also differ in threshold interpretation: Kalshi uses strict greater-than logic, while Polymarket uses greater-than-or-equal logic offset by 0.5 points.Hero Tip:
Map your Kalshi positions to the specific threshold you hold—each is a separate market. Polymarket's O/U 138.5 and O/U 139.5 are nested within Kalshi's range. If you hold both platforms, a final score of 139 resolves Over on Polymarket O/U 138.5 but also triggers Yes on Kalshi's 130.5, 133.5, 136.5, 139.5, 142.5, 145.5, 148.5, 151.5, and 154.5 markets. Use this to hedge or arbitrage.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Eleven separate over/under markets with thresholds: 124.5, 127.5, 130.5, 133.5, 136.5, 139.5, 142.5, 145.5, 148.5, 151.5, 154.5. Each resolves Yes if combined score exceeds (strictly greater than) the threshold. Quote: 'If Maryland and Oregon collectively score over 130.5 total points in the Maryland at Oregon men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Two over/under markets: O/U 138.5 (resolves Over at 139+) and O/U 139.5 (resolves Over at 140+). Also includes moneyline (Maryland vs Oregon winner) and two spread markets (Oregon -3.5 and -4.5). Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Maryland Terrapins and Oregon Ducks combine to score 139 or more points in this game.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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