TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 70
- Kalshi
Above 70 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 22, 2026
Closed: Sep 22, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The critical reception of Marvel's Wolverine will be measured by its Metacritic score one week after its release. Participants can speculate on whether the aggregated reviews from critics will reach various threshold levels, reflecting the film's quality as judged by professional reviewers.
Kalshi
The markets resolve based on the Metacritic score for Marvel's Wolverine, evaluated seven days after the film's release at 10:00 AM ET. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold, ranging from above 10 to above 95. If the Metascore for the film meets or exceeds the specified threshold on the first-listed platform on Metacritic's page for the movie, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, allowing for multiple thresholds to be met simultaneously. It is important to note that neither Metacritic nor any associated marks constitute an endorsement of these markets, and the references are purely descriptive.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a broader set of inputs, including fan sentiment and real-time trading dynamics. While analysts may issue scores based on reviews and pre-release hype, traders adjust positions daily based on new trailers, director statements, and early screening reactions. This can lead to divergence, where market prices lean more toward extreme outcomes if buzz shifts dramatically before release.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final Metacritic score for the film will be the official data point used to determine which market outcome matches reality, closing all positions based on that verified result.
Key signals that could shift this market include major trailer releases, director or cast interviews hinting at quality, early screening reviews from trusted critics, and any last-minute changes to the film's release plan. Each new piece of public feedback may cause traders to adjust odds, especially if early reviews strongly exceed or fall short of expectations, driving price movement as the resolution date approaches.
