TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
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MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Above 85
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Above 85 - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 13, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 13, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
Marvel Tokon: Fighting Souls is a fighting game featuring Marvel characters. These markets track the critical reception of the game based on its Metacritic score, measured seven days after official release.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by the Metascore for Marvel Tokon: Fighting Souls as listed on Metacritic, evaluated exactly seven days after the game's release at 10:00 AM ET. Each market corresponds to a specific score threshold, resolving Yes if the Metascore exceeds that threshold and No otherwise. The thresholds range from Above 10 through Above 95 in incremental steps. When no platform is specified, the Metascore used will be the first platform listed on the official Metacritic page for the game. This event and associated products are not endorsed by Metacritic, and references to Metacritic are descriptive only and do not indicate any affiliation or endorsement.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds reflect the collective judgment of traders betting real money on outcomes, whereas analyst forecasts typically come from individual critics or review aggregators making qualitative assessments. This market aggregates distributed expectations across many participants, often capturing sentiment shifts faster than traditional reviews. Comparing the implied probability in this market to published critic predictions or early preview scores can reveal whether traders expect the final Metacritic average to exceed or fall short of expert consensus. Markets tend to incorporate new information—trailers, gameplay footage, or developer statements—more dynamically than static forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders at their chosen odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome contract reflects the balance of supply and demand; as more traders expect a higher or lower Metacritic score, the odds shift accordingly. Participants can trade fractional shares, and the market remains open until resolution, allowing continuous repricing as new information emerges about the game's critical reception.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, once the final Metacritic score for Marvel Tokon: Fighting Souls is published and verified. The outcome is determined by the official aggregated critic score displayed on Metacritic at that time, confirmed against credible public sources. Traders holding positions aligned with the actual score at resolution will receive payouts proportional to their stake, while those on the wrong side of the prediction will lose their investment.
Major catalysts include the release of gameplay trailers, developer interviews, and early preview coverage that hint at critical reception. Pre-release review embargoes lifting can trigger sharp repricing as professional critics' verdicts become public. Player feedback from beta tests or early access periods, social media sentiment, and comparisons to prior Marvel game releases may also shift trader expectations. As the launch date nears and initial reviews roll in, this market will likely experience increasing volatility, with each new critical score potentially moving odds significantly.
