TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Frances Tiafoe wins 3-2
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 1, 2026
Latest in Sports
Closed: Sep 1, 1:04 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether the Martin Damm vs. Frances Tiafoe match at the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128 will end with an exact set score of 3-2 in favor of Frances Tiafoe. The aggregated consensus probability for this outcome stands at 100.0% across Polymarket, Limitless, and Kalshi, with resolution based on official information from the ATP Tour. Watch for the match conclusion on September 6, 2026, to confirm the exact set score.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms agree on the exact set scores that resolve the market to Yes (3-0, 3-1, or 3-2 for either player) and the conditions under which the market resolves to No or Not Completed (match not completed due to cancellation, retirement, or walkover).Primary resolution logic: Official information from the ATP TourCore resolution logic:
- Market resolves to Yes if the match ends with a set score of 3-0, 3-1, or 3-2 in favor of either player
- Market resolves to No or Not Completed if the match is canceled, delayed beyond the allowed period without completion, ends in a walkover, or concludes with a set score other than the specified ones
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond the allowed period without completion, the market resolves to Not Completed
- Retirement/Walkover: If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, or if it ends in a walkover, the market resolves to Not Completed
Polymarket
In the upcoming US Open ATP singles match between Martin Damm and Frances Tiafoe, scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final set score of the Martin Damm vs. Frances Tiafoe match. This match is played in a best-of-5-sets format. The possible outcomes are 3-0, 3-1, “Not Completed”, and 3-2 in either direction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date at 11:59 PM ET without completion, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to 'Not Completed' regardless of the set score at the time. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 'Not Completed'. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kalshi
The markets resolve based on the exact set score of the Martin Damm Jr vs Frances Tiafoe match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the match concludes with the specified set score for the respective winner. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price. Postponements or delays keep the market open until the rescheduled match concludes, with resolution within two weeks. In cases of retirement, markets can resolve based on completed play, or settle at fair market price if unresolved. All markets remain independent, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks.
Limitless
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Damm and Frances Tiafoe in the ATP US Open, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. This market will resolve to "YES" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 4. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50.
