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Martin Damm Jr vs Frances Tiafoe: Set 3 Winner
kalshi

Martin Damm Jr vs Frances Tiafoe: Set 3 Winner

Volume:
$469,675

Martin Damm Jr

 - Kalshi

Martin Damm Jr - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 11:35 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Martin Damm Jr

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$209,133
N/A
N/A
$103,195
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Frances Tiafoe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$260,541
N/A
N/A
$204,362
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks which player will win the third set in the Martin Damm Jr vs Frances Tiafoe match at the 2026 US Open. On Kalshi, the probability that Martin Damm Jr will win set 3 stands at 88%, while Frances Tiafoe stands at 13%. The resolution source is the official result of the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128 match. Watch for the match conclusion on August 30, 2026, which will determine the outcome.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which player wins the third set of the specified tennis match at the 2026 US Open. If the match does not commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before any play begins, the market will settle at a fair price. Postponements or delays will keep the market open until the rescheduled match concludes, with a two-week window for final closure. In cases where a player retires during the match, markets that can be definitively settled based on completed play will do so, while unresolved markets will be priced fairly at the Exchange's discretion. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds and price history for the Set 3 winner market, along with 24-hour volume of $469,675. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning themselves as the match progresses, offering a real-time view of market sentiment and trading activity specific to this event.

On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ due to unique betting dynamics and the inclusion of exotic outcomes not typically offered by sportsbooks. Traders may price in nuanced factors like player form or match conditions that sportsbooks might not fully capture. The volume of $469,675 shows how much interest this market has generated. These differences can create opportunities for arbitrage or insights into where the market sees value compared to more conventional betting outlets.

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result depends entirely on the on-court performance in the third set, and will be finalized when official match records are published post-game.