TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Marshall vs Penn St.: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Marshall vs Penn St.?

Volume:
$970,087

Penn St. wins by over 23.5 points

 - Kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 23.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 6, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 7:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 23.5 points

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$387,290
N/A
N/A
$262,240
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 33.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$117,118
N/A
N/A
$55,652
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 24.5 points

100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$105,367
N/A
N/A
$94,533
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 20.5 points

100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$81,429
N/A
N/A
$74,980
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 21.5 points

100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$45,087
N/A
N/A
$35,379
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 35.5 points

100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$35,129
N/A
N/A
$22,762
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 38.5 points

100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$34,797
N/A
N/A
$27,179
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 41.5 points

100%
91%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,566
N/A
N/A
$24,465
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 30.5 points

100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,114
N/A
N/A
$20,081
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 27.5 points

100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,679
N/A
N/A
$20,381
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 5.5 points

100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,345
N/A
N/A
$16,202
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 17.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,340
N/A
N/A
$5,571
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 13.5 points

100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,069
N/A
N/A
$6,037
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 7.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,838
N/A
N/A
$3,407
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 9.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,048
N/A
N/A
$4,042
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 10.5 points

100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,927
N/A
N/A
$2,277
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 16.5 points

100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,482
N/A
N/A
$1,307
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 14.5 points

100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,662
N/A
N/A
$1,641
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 3.5 points

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$862
N/A
N/A
$859
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 6.5 points

100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$704
N/A
N/A
$647
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 11.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$455
N/A
N/A
$452
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 4.5 points

100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$415
N/A
N/A
$415
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 45.5 points

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,277
N/A
N/A
$17,346
Settled
No
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 51.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,683
N/A
N/A
$1,465
Settled
No
kalshi

Penn St. wins by over 48.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,404
N/A
N/A
$1,353
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Intro

This market tracks whether Penn State will win their college football game against Marshall by more than 5.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Penn State winning by over 5.5 points, with resolution determined by the final score of the Marshall vs Penn St. game as defined in the resolution source. Participants can trade on their expectations of the game’s outcome up until the resolution date; keep a close watch on the game itself, scheduled for September 5, 2026, as the final score will determine market settlement and the resolution on September 6, 2026.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on Penn State's point differential in the Marshall vs Penn State college football game scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. For each market, if Penn State wins by more than the specified point margin, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Marshall vs Penn St. spread market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $903,768. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the point spread between the two teams as the game approaches, offering a live view of market sentiment and liquidity at $970,087.

Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are driven by trader sentiment rather than set by oddsmakers. While sportsbooks may adjust lines based on public betting patterns and historical data, this market prices in real-time based on how participants evaluate team performance, injuries, and game conditions.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the majority view. The market uses a logarithmic market scoring rule to incentivize accurate forecasting, and liquidity is influenced by the volume of $970,087. Prices adjust dynamically as new information about team readiness or game conditions emerges.

This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread reported by major sports news outlets and official score sources will determine which side of the market is the winner, closing all positions based on the confirmed result.

Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, and shifting weather conditions could all move this market as the game nears. Also, any significant performance trends in recent matchups or updates from team announcements may cause traders to re-evaluate their positions, impacting the odds and volume leading up to Sep 6, 2026.