TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter of a specific college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes', allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity in that quarter.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams specifically during the third quarter of the Marshall vs Penn St. college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold (ranging from more than 2.5 points to more than 27.5 points) that must be exceeded for the market to resolve to 'Yes'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result of the third quarter. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate probabilities, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The more buyers for a particular outcome, the higher the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds continuously adjust to reflect the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the Marshall vs Penn State game will be used to determine the winning contract. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for verification. The resolution will be based on the final, official score and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the odds for this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Marshall or Penn State would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s offensive style, could also shift the market. Additionally, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could affect trader sentiment. Finally, as the game draws closer, even seemingly minor updates – such as starting lineup announcements – can cause fluctuations in the price of contracts.