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394,660
Markets across
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 5, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential specifically in the third quarter of a college football game between Marshall and Penn State. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to settle the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of play in the Marshall vs Penn St. college football game scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If Penn State wins the third quarter by exceeding the specified point threshold—ranging from 2.5 to 23.5 points—the corresponding 'Penn St. wins 3Q by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Marshall wins the third quarter by exceeding the specified threshold—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the respective 'Marshall wins 3Q by over X points' market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final third-quarter spread of the Marshall vs Penn State football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range specified by each contract. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Marshall or Penn State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected during the game, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market represents independent predictions.