TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 5:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential specifically within the second quarter of a college football game between Marshall and Penn State. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team could win that quarter, allowing participants to speculate on the exact competitiveness of the second quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Marshall vs Penn State college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. For markets where Penn State is the favored team, resolution occurs if Penn State's second-quarter point differential exceeds the specified threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 23.5 points). Conversely, markets favoring Marshall resolve if Marshall's second-quarter point differential exceeds the given threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty and preventing unresolved outcomes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to openly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a continuously updating market. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual second quarter spread of the Marshall vs Penn State football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official game statistics and reported by trusted sports news sources. The market will then pay out to contract holders based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by their purchased contracts. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Marshall or Penn State teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the market. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception or betting trends, as reflected in sportsbook odds, could lead traders to adjust their positions and move the price. Game-day developments, such as early scoring drives or defensive stops, will also heavily influence trading activity.