TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 6:48 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate various scoring thresholds for the second half of a college football game between Marshall and Penn State. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that must be exceeded for the market to resolve positively. The outcomes are determined solely by the points scored during the second half, excluding any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the second half (excluding overtime) of the Marshall vs Penn State college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined second-half points exceed the stated threshold (e.g., 2.5, 6.5, 9.5, etc.), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For all markets, only points scored in the second half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, trading remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and guarantee a profit, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially as more information becomes available closer to the event. However, discrepancies can occur based on differing risk assessments and market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Marshall vs Penn State 2nd half. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe the total will be over 9.5, the price of 'Over' contracts will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time assessment of event probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second half of the Marshall vs Penn State football game will determine whether the total points scored are over or under 9.5. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine the winning outcome. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Marshall or Penn State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also impact expectations. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also influence trader behavior. Furthermore, as the game approaches and more public analysis becomes available, the market will likely react to shifts in perceived probabilities, potentially leading to increased volume and price volatility.