TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 10:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a college football game between two teams originally scheduled for a specific date. The outcome depends on whether the game goes into overtime play during its course. The focus is on the actual gameplay dynamics rather than the initial schedule.
If at least 1 overtime period is played in the Marshall vs Missouri St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a game is likely to go to overtime, the price will move accordingly, potentially diverging from initial sportsbook lines. It's common to see prediction markets offer a different perspective on the probability of an event compared to conventional betting outlets, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of overtime occurring in the Marshall vs Missouri State game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the 'yes' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds based on their own analysis and expectations, and the market price reflects the collective assessment of all participants. As more trades occur, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the Marshall vs Missouri State game officially goes into overtime, as determined by the official game results. The final result will be verified against credible public sources to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome is triggered. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Marshall or Missouri State teams could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, might also impact the likelihood of a high-scoring game and thus overtime. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Overall game previews and expert analysis released closer to game time could also move the market as new information becomes available.