TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers
Volume:
$1,124,339
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Marshall Thundering Herd and Appalachian State Mountaineers scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), multiple point spreads, and over/under totals across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. All other markets (Polymarket moneyline, all spreads, all totals) use coherent binary logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi moneyline until the platform issues a clarification or correction. The Polymarket moneyline and all spread/total markets on both platforms are safe to trade and use consistent resolution criteria based on final game score including overtime.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Appalachian St. wins then Yes; If Marshall wins then Yes. This creates a tautology where the market always resolves Yes. Quote: 'If Appalachian St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Marshall wins...then the market resolves to Yes'.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to the actual winner: Marshall Thundering Herd if Marshall wins, Appalachian State Mountaineers if Appalachian State wins. Cancellation without makeup results in 50-50 split. Quote: 'If the Marshall Thundering Herd win, the market will resolve to Marshall Thundering Herd. If the Appalachian State Mountaineers win, the market will resolve to Appalachian State Mountaineers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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