TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Women's College Basketball matchup between Marquette Golden Eagles and Providence Friars scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Marquette win and Providence win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides clear binary logic with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic is broken and cannot distinguish between the two possible outcomes. Trade only on Polymarket, which has proper binary resolution logic with clear winner determination and well-defined edge cases.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clear binary winner-take-all logic. Marquette win resolves to Marquette Golden Eagles; Providence win resolves to Providence Friars. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Defective resolution logic: both Marquette win and Providence win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. The market cannot distinguish between outcomes and is unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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