TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 9:15 PM EST
Kalshi
The Marquel Mederos vs. Mason Jones fight is a highly anticipated mixed martial arts bout set for UFC Fight Night on August 22, 2026. Fans and analysts are eagerly watching to see if the contest will go the full scheduled rounds without a knockout or submission. The outcome of this match will depend on the fighters' endurance and strategy throughout the bout.
If the Marquel Mederos vs. Mason Jones UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Aug 22, 2026 goes the distance, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate belief about the likelihood of the fight going the distance. The market’s price fluctuates based on trading volume, news about either fighter, and any shifts in public or expert sentiment leading up to the event, capturing the real-time consensus of Kalshi participants.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether the bout lasts the full scheduled rounds, and the market will close as soon as the official result is announced and confirmed through trusted news and sports authorities.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates or training performance for either fighter, changes to the fight’s venue or schedule, pre-fight media events or interviews that affect public perception, and any last-minute adjustments to the matchup itself. Each new piece of credible information may cause traders to reassess the likelihood of the fight going the distance, thus moving the market price on Kalshi.