This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Marist Red Foxes and Manhattan Jaspers scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both Marist winning and Manhattan winning resolve to Yes, making the market mathematically unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent binary logic.
Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is broken as written. The platform likely intended a Yes/No structure (e.g., Yes if Marist wins, No if Manhattan wins) but the current language creates an impossible condition. Treat Polymarket as the reliable source. Request clarification from Kalshi before trading.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all resolution. Resolves to team name of winner. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key Quote: If Marist wins, resolves to Marist Red Foxes; if Manhattan wins, resolves to Manhattan Jaspers.
Kalshi: Contradictory dual-YES logic. Both Marist winning and Manhattan winning are stated to resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Key Quote: If Marist wins resolves to Yes AND If Manhattan wins resolves to Yes.
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